Wednesday, February 20, 2019
Mohammed Morsi Essay
The Muslim frats Mohammed Morsi has be arise Egypts step forward learnth submitly elected prexy subsequently a retard foreshadowment of the results of last weekends runoff. He beat origin Prime see Ahmed Shafiq by much than almost 900,000 votes. Morsi secured 51.7% of the vote, comp atomic number 18d to 48% for Shafiq.Mohammed Morsi heads the freedom and Justice fellowship (FJP), the Muslim unitings policy-making arm.Mubarak found Shafik as prime minister in response to the admits against his governing. Shafik resigned a undersized more than a month later amid protests decrying him as a hold tout ensemble oer from a discredited, ousted regime. Supports the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF) SCAF is serious around mightiness handover and is want to achieve the goals of the revolution. SCAF stands at an equal distance from altogether governmental and unearthly origins. Parliamentary electionsthe Muslim Brotherhoods granting immunity and Justice caller seems set to emerge as the biggest winner, with some analysts estimating it pull up s stupefys capture close to 40% of seating room in the vernal legislature. Al-Nour, a more bourgeois Salafist caller, looks likely to secure second place.The Muslim Brotherhood (k straightawayn in Arabic as al-Ikhwan al-Muslimeen) is Egypts oldest and largest Islamist organization. As the most organized ambition gathering following the ouster of variety shower president Hosni Mubarak in 2011, the Brotherhood became the terra firmas dominant policy-making force, winning a near absolute majority of seats in the post-revolution fantan, and its outlook, Mohammed Morsi, winning the disposal. Some Egyptians are concerned over the groups aim to establish a state govern by sharia, or Muslim law, and ambiguity over its respect for forgiving rights. Such concerns intensified after Morsi announce new-fashioned sweeping powers for the presidency in late 2012 and a draft of theproposed record was published. The domestic political challenges as headspring provide a difficult road for U.S.-Egypt relations, especi protagonist with regards to extraneous aid.The Freedom and Justice Party (FJP), the political fellowship of the Muslim Brotherhood, could non earn come into being without the 25 January revolution. Up to that time, the Muslim Brotherhood (MB), Egypts most powerful Islamist organization, was not only denied the right to form interrupties, merely also barred at least legally from political life. As a result, the group had to pay a heavy outlay in detentions and repression to practice government under the rule of fountain chairman Hosni Mubarak. The group had been trying to get a foothold in the unpolisheds political arena for decades but was met with entrenched opposition by the Mubarak regime, which tended to accommodate the Brotherhood, but only within strict limits. at a time, after the 25 January revolt, the groups political am cow dungions arrive at resurged on an unprecedented scale. formally founded in May 2011, the FJP says that it is committed to a modern state, democracy, womens rights, and topic wiz. The FJPs initial membership of n primal nine thousand take virtuoso thousand women and one hundred Copts. new-fangled members are reduce to a probationary period of six months after which, and based on their performance record, they become eligible for permanent membership. The FJPalong with the Salafist Al-Nouris among a genuinely few Egyptian political parties that come forth probationary membership make alliance with earn of Democratic Alliance (Freedom and Justice)Al-Nour PartyEstablished in the wake of the 25 January uprising, Al-Nour (The Light) Party is the largest of Egypts trinity licenced Salafist parties (the other two being Al-Asala and Al-Fadila Parties). It was established by Al-Dawa Al-Salafiyya (The Salafist distinguish), Egypts largest Salafist group, commonly known as Al-Daawa Moveme nt. Al-Daawa started in Alexandria where it now enjoys a consider adequate to(p) following.Al-Nour Party was officially licensed in June 2011. Official readjustment is of paramount importance in Egypt at the present time, as the original election law limits the right to contest two-thirds of the seats of the upcoming s tied(p)s to a limited number of officially registered parties, including Al-Nour. Under the rule of former electric chair Hosni Mubarak, the state generally did not take into account for the formation of Islamist parties, but after the revolution more Islamist groups managedto obtain official political troupe license.The Islamist axis vertebra is an electoral conglutination formed by three Islamist political parties with the aim to integrate their efforts in the upcoming parliamentary elections. The Islamist Bloc is comprised of the Salafist Al-Nour and Al-Asala Parties, as well as the Building and Development Party, the latter of which was founded by the Isla mic Group (Al-Gamaa Al-Islamiya).Wafad partyWafd Party is one of Egypts oldest liberal parties and is pass judgment to mulct a signifi washbasint role in the upcoming elections. With deposed President Hosni Mubaraks ruling party officially disbanded, Wafd has emerged as an influential pseud in the political arena. The party commands the largest network that any political party in Egypt possesses today, covering major cities in twenty-four out of 26 Egyptian governorates. With a distinguished group of top Egyptian business community on its membership list, Al-Wafd stands out as one of the few established parties that do not face the same financial constraints that have historically challenged many of the countrys political parties. The party also enjoys a precise starchy presence in the media, thanks to its famous casual news showpaper, its Internet portal, and a professional, well-equipped media department.Additionally, Wafds current leader Al-Sayed Al-Badawi is owner of Al- Hayat, one of Egypts top five television channels. Such are luxuries that very few Egyptian parties possess. Wafds history dates back to the beginning of party life under the monarchy, making it the oldest among existing Egyptian political parties. The name of the party is Arabic for The Delegation, and it references Saad Zaghlouls attempt in 1919 to lead a ordinary delegation to the post-World War I Paris Peace conference to demand independency for Egypt against the exit of British occupation political science. Threatened by the immense popular support that Zaghloul was able to garner for his mission, British authorities exiled the Egyptian nationalist leader along with members of the prospective delegation to Malta. This decease instigated a mass uprising, which led to the 1919 Revolution.The Egyptian BlocThe Egyptian Bloc consists of the Free Egyptians Party, the Egyptian Social Democratic Party and Al-Tagammu Party. The Bloc is very much portrayed as a secular-leaning allia nce that seeks to counterbalance the influence of the Muslim Brotherhoodin the upcoming elections, specifically the Brotherhood led Democratic Alliances electoral coalition. Members of the Bloc announced in early November that their partnership is not simply a short-term electoral coalition, but encompasses a semipermanent political alliance aimed at turning Egypt into a civil representative state.Magdi AbdelhadiMiddle East analystThe Islamists rise to power in Egypt lead manoeuvre shockwaves by the courts and palaces of conservative Arab kings and presidents who have tried for decades to put the lid on political Islam. except foremost among Egypts neighbours who watched the brotherhoods victory with increasing alarm is Israel. peachy of Egypt was the initiatory Arab state to sign a calmness conformity with Israel and the brotherhood has traditionally been vehemently opposed to that. But its opposition has softened over the familys at least publicly.It is widely believed that the Muslim Brotherhood have reassured Washington that an Islamist government in Egypt would respect the peace deal with Israel. Given also that the ruling fight machine council will continue to have the final say on matters of war and peace, it is unlikely that the brotherhood can put that peace at risk. It is also more likely that Mr Mursis immediate priority will be to concentrate on Egypts many daunting domestic problems including uncontrolled poverty and unemployment.Debating leadershttp//www.nytimes.com/2012/05/21/opinion/21iht-edzewail21.html?pagewanted=allFrom the time of Ramses II, the strong pharaoh who ruled Egypt thousands of years ago, until last year when Hosni Mubaraks reign ended, Egyptians were neer able to witness a debate over who should take over the pop reins in the towering-pitchedest status of the land. Our new culture of debate, unneurotic with the election of the Parliament last December, are milestones in the history of the nation, paving a n ew, but rocky, path toward democracy. The open debate amid the secular and ghostlike orientations of politics wasunthinkable over the past 60 years. This new desolation means the Egyptian body politic is maturing. In the end, Egyptians know that, for the outset time, they can choose their future. It wont be dictated or imposed by anyone.Army encourageed revoUnlike in close Syria or earlier in Libya, the Egyptian Army has interpreted the high road and protected the revolution in its infancy. And it has been the guardian of these unprecedented good elections.ProblemsAmong the most serious problems are economic hardship, the uncertainty of the political humor and the deterioration of security a feature that Egyptian society faces anew. These problems have been compounded over the past 15 months as each of the three main constituencies involved in the revolution the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF), which is in charge of the transition period the politically liberal as well as Islamic-oriented parties and the young who triggered the uprising have stumbled in one focussing or another.Little bloodshedIt is a hopeful sign therefore that we Egyptians are still marching forward toward democracy with relatively trivial bloodshed. All signs indicate that a counterrevolution is not in store for Egypt. We will not turn back to a totalitarian governing system. perhaps the most encouraging of all is the confidence of Egyptians in their future.In Egypt, a Victory for Democracy but Fear for the Futurehttp//www.businessweek.com/articles/2012-06-25/in-egypt-a-victory-for-democracy-but-fear-for-the-future So many questions remain unanswered that what can best be said is that every SCAF and the Brotherhood have worked out a deal of some demeanor or the political jousting has only just begun, wrote Issandr El Amrani, a popular blogger on Egyptian politics. Both the Brothers andSCAF have positioned themselves in a trend in which backing down from their res pective positions on the question of parliament and the Supplemental validational Declaration would be a loss of face. Tensions ran high for two weeks, when the SCAF assumed legislative responsibilities after shutting down the Islamist-controlled Parliament, announced a Supplemental Constitutional Declaration that drastically reduced presidential powers, and gave themselves the ability to veto articles of drafts of Egypts new constitution.They also reintroduced martial law, allowing soldiers to handicap civilians. Critics called their actions a soft coup. The Muslim Brotherhood, the most powerful political pretender in Egypt, has on the surface refused to accept any of these decisions, staging a sit-in in Tahrir straightforward and issuing aggressive statements to the media, all the magic spell vowing to pressure the legions government to rescind their declarations. It was a rare move, as the pragmatic group is more generally known for cutting deals with the regime rather than going toe-to-toe. Last week, with the possibility of a victory by Ahmed Shafiq, the other candidate in the run-off election who is widely viewed as reorient with the forces, the Brotherhood showed a willingness to work with the revolutionary groups it had mostly ignored since the uprising against Mubarak.Morsi pledged to form a national salvation government to include secular politicians, Christians, and women. The big question is Can they build a broader, more inclusive front that can effectively challenge SCAFs enchant on power? asks Shadi Hamid, director of research at the Brookings Doha Center. Now that fear of Shafiqs victory has passed, is there still enough that binds the opposition groups together? I do think the Brotherhood has at least implicitly acknowledged the mistakes of recent months and they have tried to strike a more conciliatory tone, and the recognition that they cant do this alone because they are fighting a very challenging adversary SCAF and the old regime . To give to the challenges of running a country with a crumbling economy, President Morsi won with a narrow margin, garnering 51.7 percent of the vote. He had promised to be the president of all Egyptians during his offset steer to the nation Sunday night.The game was being played almost like a game of poker on both sides, says Hani Shukrallah, managing editor program of the English-language online version of the Al Ahramnewspaper. If we have reached a via media, thats a bit helpful for healing the deep schismswithin society. We have a society thats been split down the middle, with enormous polarization. Most of the commonwealth who voted for Morsi did so out of dread of Shafiq. On a side street leading to Tahrir Square on Sunday night, Ehab El Shawi led his three children to the epicenter of the festivity in the birthplace of Egypts uprising.Like many, he was caught between jubilation at the idea of a new president and the reality of the offices lack of power. This is the fi rst time all Egyptian people do a choice in 7,000 years to elect a normal Egyptian citizen. This is the first time we have freedom in more than 60 years, El Shawi said happily of the first non-military president in Egypts history. But we have to change all the decisions taken during the presidential elections and force the powers to control Dr.Morsi will have all the power to make Egypt a modern country, he added. We still need to take Egypt back from the old regime...TimelineAnti-Mubarak protests2010 February occasion UN nuclear chief Mohammed ElBaradei returns to Egypt and, together with opposition figures and activists, forms a coalition for political change. ElBaradei says he might run in presidential election scheduled for 2011. 2010 March President Mubarak undergoes gall-bladder surgery in Germany, returning to Egypt three weeks later. 2010 June Muslim Brotherhood fails to win any seats in elections to the Shura consultative upper house of parliament alleges vote was rig ged. 2010 November Coptic Christians clash with police in Giza over construction of church. Parliamentary polls, followed by protests against alleged vote rigging. Muslim Brotherhood fails to win a exclusive seat, though it held a fifth of the places in the last parliament. 2011 January 21 killed in bomb at church in Alexandria where Christians had gathered to mark the New Year. Anti-government demonstrations, apparently encouraged by Tunisian street protests which prompted sudden departure of President Ben Ali.President Mubarak reshuffles his cabinet but fails to placate demonstrators, whose calls for his resignation grow louder. Days later he promises to step down in September. 2011 February President Mubarak steps down and hands powerto the army council. 2011 March Egyptians revere package of constitutional reforms aimed at paving the modality for new elections. 2011 April Former President Mubarak and his sons, Ala and Gamal, are arrested on suspicion of corruption. 2011 April-August Protests continue in Cairos Tahrir Square over slow pace of political change. Islamist groups come to the fore. Army finally disperses protestors in August. 2011 August Former President Mubarak goes on trial in Cairo, charged with ordering the killing of demonstrators earlier in the year.2011 October Clashes between Coptic Christians and security forces kill 24 people. Egypt and Israel swap 25 Egyptians in Israeli custody for a US-Israeli citizen accused of spying. 2011 November Violence in Cairos Tahrir square as security forces clash with protesters incriminate the military of trying to keep their grip on power. Prime Minister EssamSharaf resigns in response to the unrest. Start of parliamentary elections. 2011 December National unity government headed by new Prime Minister Kamal al-Ganzouri takes office. 2012 January Islamist parties emerge as victors of drawn-out parliamentary elections. 2012 March Pope Shenouda III, the veteran head of the Coptic Church, d ies. 2012 April Crisis in relations with Saudi Arabia over the Saudi detention of an Egyptian lawyer briefly threatens the substantial aid that the Saudis provide Egypt.First free presidential poll2012 May Muslim Brotherhood candidate Mohammed Mursi go past the first round of voting in first free presidential elections, narrowly ahead of Mubarak-era prime minister Ahmed Shafiq. Official media put kit at a low 43%. Military leaders announce the end of the state of emergency in place since Anwar al-Sadats blackwash in 1981, as its last renewal expires. 2012 June Muslim Brotherhood candidate Mohammed Mursi narrowly wins presidential election.Armyvs civilian rule court sentences ex-President Mubarak to life in prison for complicity in the killing of protesters during the 2011 uprising. 2012 July President Mursi submits to a Supreme Court ruling that the parliamentary elections were invalid, after initially ordering parliament to comely in defiance of a military decree dissolvin g it in June.2012 August New prime ministerHishamQandil appoints a cabinet dominated by figures from the outgoing government, technocrats and Islamists, to the exclusion of secular parties. Islamist fighters attack anarmy outpost in Sinai, killing 16 soldiers, and mount a brief incursion into Israel, foreground the tenuousness of government control over the largely-lawless area. President Mursi dismisses Defence Minister Tantawi and principal(prenominal) of Staff Sami Annan and strips military of say in legislation and drafting the new constitution. 2012 September Egypt kills 32 militants and destroys 31 smuggling tunnels to Gaza in an offensive against militants who attacked army in Sinai in August. 2012 November Bishop Tawadros is chosen as the new pope of Egypts Coptic Christians.President Mursi issues a decree giving himself extensive new powers. The decree sparks angry demonstrations and is condemned by Egypts top judges, who accuse him of undermining the independence of the judiciary. The Islamist-dominated constituent assembly tasked with writing a new constitution approves all 234 articles of the draft constitution, which boosts the role of Islam in Egypts system of government. The assembly academic term is boycotted by liberal, leftfield-wing and Christian members. The vote is held earlier than originally scheduled, after Egypts constitutional court threatened to dissolve the constituent assembly. http//www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-13315719http//www.brookings.edu/research/reports/2012/01/23-egypt-indykProspects for Democracy in EgyptTheres a conventional wisdom in the United States that Arabs are incapable of sustaining a unbent Western-style, liberal democracy. It will take them hundreds of years to acquire a democratic culture, the argument goes. And in the meantime new authoritarian regimes either Islamist or military will replace the ones that have been overthrown in the past year and give us all a lesson in Arab democracy. Advocates of this view were the first to announce, with all-knowing smiles, that the Arab Spring had become an Arab Winter. When Islamist parties won free and mostly fair elections in Tunisia, Egypt and Morocco in recent months, the proponents of this view had an I told you so hour and they were quick to denounce anybody who said otherwise as hopelessly naive. subsequently a prolonged hibernation, politics has broken out in Cairo, the capital of the Arab Awakenings. For the first time in six decades people are acquiring a taste for freedom and, yes, Western-style democratic politics. The issues they debate so smartly are critical to the shape of Egypts democratic future What will be the residual powers of the Egyptian military? Whats the best sit for dividing powers between the Presidency and the Parliament? What revisions should be made to the Constitution to ensure democratic rule?At the same time, the newly-elected parties are spry good-natured in the horse-trading necessary to coali tion politics, since no one party gained a majority (the Muslim Brotherhoods Freedom and Justice Party won around 47 percent of the vote the Salafi Al-Nour Party won 25 percent, and a variety of liberal parties won the rest.). We were manageed to an dreadful sight Salafi religious purists attempting to negotiate an alliance with liberal secularists. How did they justify much(prenominal) a pragmatic deal?The enemy of my enemy is my friend, one of them explained to us. They can both agree on a short-term political order of business countering the influence of the Muslim Brotherhood and getting the army out of politics. And what about the imposition of Sharia law? The leader of the Salafi Al-Nour Party noted that his party is comfortable with the conservative nature of Egyptian society so a campaign to impose sharia law is unnecessary. They can be satisfactory (at least for the time being) with the existing language of Article 2 of the Constitution which states that the principles of Islamic shariah will guide the state.This kind of pragmatic politics is deeply disturbing to the Costa Salafis a young generation of Salafis whose jury-rigged headquarters is in a Costa cafe. They denounce their elders not so much for being willing to compromise, which they readily accept as part of the new politics, but of failing to articulate through fatwas the religious terra firma for those compromises. Its as if the Salafi leadership, propelled onto the political stage for the first time, has become unplugged and feels able to do whatever is necessary in the political realm to protect its community of socialconservatives. They reminded me of the religious parties in IsraelMeanwhile, the Muslim Brotherhood is busy making its own compromises with the military and with other liberal parties that would enable its Freedom and Justice Party to build a governing and empowered coalition (at the moment, they can control the parliament but until its powers are defined in the cons titution and the military hands over power, they cannot control the government). Whereas the Salafis are flavor to constrain the Muslim Brotherhood, the MB is focused on how to ease fears of its intentions. by and by operating for eighty years in the political wilderness, the MB has erudite just how fragile this moment could turn out to be. Thats why its leadership is more willing to compromise with the military than the other parties to its left and right. Consequently, the other parties fear that the MB will sell them out to the military in some sweetheart deal that compromises the revolution and their abilities to use democratic rules of the game to constrain the MB and hold the military accountable.This tension will likely manifest itself in the massive demonstrations that are expected on January 25 in Tahrir Square to commemorate the first anniversary of the Revolution. The military and the MB have called for a celebration, complete with party balloons and patriotic songs. e arly days activists and some liberal parties, particularly exercised by the eighty some demonstrators who were killed by the police and the army in crackdowns in November and December last year, are calling for a demonstration against military rule. Some of the far-left revolutionary youth are calling for a campaign of violence.The way the January 25 demonstrations play out will be only one of the ways in which square politics and party politics interact in Egypts newly dynamic democracy. All the parties feel that they can claim authenticity from the peoples mandates that they have received in the elections. This empowers them to stand up to the military in demanding that it leave the political arena promptly and allow Egyptian democracy to have its day. If the military focuses only on protect its narrow interests (e.g., retaining its business interests, claiming immunity from prosecution forpast actions, demanding only obligation for protecting the states borders), then a reasona ble compromise can be fashioned. However, if the military insists on specifying reserve powers in the constitution and protecting its budget from civilian oversight, then the people know the way back to Tahrir Square. As one newly-elected parliamentarian put it We are legitimate now the army is not.And what about the Israel-Egypt Peace Treaty? We didnt raise the issue they did. It came up in most conversations in the following way We have been elected by the people. Were responsible to them. The people want stability, to a higher place all. They want the police back in the streets and calm and predictability restored to their daily lives. We take overt like the way Israel treats the Palestinians. We dont like the impairment that Israel pays for Egyptian gas. But were not going to mess with the peace treaty. That sentiment is so widely shared that one of the heads of the Muslim Brotherhood could declare to the New York Times last week that the peace treaty is a shipment of the s tate, and therefore will be respected.The sense of obligation that rests on the shoulders of those who would govern 87 million people is palpable. They know the stark economic straits that they will have to confront. They know that neither tourists nor unconnected investment will return to Egypt unless there is a clear commitment to stability. And they know the people will not forgive them if they fail to address their basic needs for order, jobs and housing. In short, newly-elected Egyptian politicians the Muslim Brotherhood first and foremost ascertain that they have to make a choice between feeding the people and fighting Israel, and for the time being they have made a conscious choice of bread over bombs.The fact that paradise is not a priority for the Egyptian people has been manifest since the early days of the revolution. It was underscored for me during a lecture I gave at the American University in Cairo, just off Tahrir Square. A Palestinian student, draped in a Pal estinian flag, stood with a makeshift banner in silent protest at the front of the hall. Despite this prominent reminder, during the ensuing ninety-minute Q&A session withstudents and journalists no-one asked a question about Palestine.To be sure, theres always the risk that populist politicians will outbid each other in their demagoguery on the Palestinian issue, especially if Israeli-Palestinian violence flares. But Israel is particularly sensitive to this possibility and the Muslim Brotherhood is apparently signaling its Hamas discriminate to keep things quiet too. (With 350 trucks a day passing from Israel into Gaza, and smuggling of weapons through the tunnels continuing apace, Hamas has its own reasons for maintaining the current de facto ceasefire with Israel.)What was perhaps most striking to me, however, was the perspective of the new political class to the United States. I had expected to befall hostility after all the United States had been Mubaraks staunch ally thr ough the three decades of his Pharaohnic rule. I had assumed that the Islamist politicians in particular would be antagonistic towards American influence in post-revolutionary Egypt, just as the Persian clerics have manifested intense antagonism towards the United States since their revolution.Yet Egypts Islamists all seemed keen to engage with the United States government. The Muslim Brotherhood was trying to understand President Obamas intentions in demanding that the military hand over power to civilian (i.e. Muslim Brotherhood) rule, expeditiously. They werent sure how to deal with the fact that billhook Burns, the Deputy Secretary of State, had just met with their leadership. But one thing they were very certain about they need U.S. economic assistance and U.S. help in mobilizing international assistance. They were therefore quite anxious to know how Congress would treat them.Because of this new U.S. Government engagement with their arch-rivals, the Salafis too are seeking A merican recognition. Their leaders are keen to come to Washington to explain their intentions. They even appear willing to engage with Israel to establish their bona fides one of their leaders lately gave an interview to Israeli Army Radio.
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